Hawaii Senate Primary: Which Poll to Believe?

That’s the title of this blog post in The Washington Post. Excerpt:

The matchup for Hawaii’s open Senate seat will officially be set Saturday, when the state holds its Democratic Senate primary.

And depending on which poll you believe, it’s either going to be a barn-burner or a blowout.

Former congressman Ed Case is challenging Rep. Mazie Hirono for the right to face Republican former governor Linda Lingle in the general election, and he’s long been the underdog. Hirono had the unofficial backing of the national Democratic Party, raised tons more money than Case did, leans further left than Case does, and according to some polls, she carries a double-digit lead into Saturday’s election.

As usual, though, polling in the Aloha State has been all over the place — with opposing polls in the last week showing Hirono up by 17 points and Case up 1 point.

—Chad Blair